According to some new polling from both The Wall Street Journal and Quinnipiac University, if the next Presidential election were today, current President Joe Biden would again defeat former President Donald Trump.
In the Wall Street Journal poll, President Biden is holding a 6-point lead over Trump, with 50% of voters saying they would probably or definitely vote for Joe Biden and 44 percent saying the same of Trump. In the same poll last March, the two were tied at 45% in the hypothetical rematch.
Biden has seen a bump after a series of August political successes like passing the Inflation Reduction Act and his federal student loan debt forgiveness plan. His approval rating in the Journal poll is also up 3 points, to 45%, since March.
In the Aug. 17-25 Wall Street Journal poll, which interviewed 1,313 registered voters nationwide, 45 percent said they approved of Biden’s performance as president, a 3-point bump from March.
The Quinnipiac poll showed a 9-point bump in the President’s approval rating, going up all the way to 40% from an all-time low of 31% in March.
Trump’s popularity has seen a small drop off since the FBI raid of his Mar-a-Lago residence. In the Wall Street Journal poll, a whopping 58% of those polled said they view him unfavorably, up from 55% in March.
Neither Biden or Trump has officially announced their candidacy for 2024, and while a rematch of the 2020 election between the two is currently the most likely scenario for the next election, Politico reported back in May that there are some signs that experts say may lead either, or both, away from running again.
It’s a very unusual situation where there are people in both parties who would likely clear the field, and for the first time in modern history we might not have a very competitive primary on either side,” said Republican strategist Alex Conant. “So it’s hard to think of what that would look like other than it being a brutally long election campaign.”
Former Bill Clinton advisor Paul Begala added that “Everything is frozen until after the midterms. I expect Biden to run, I hope he runs, and I think if there is a credible primary challenger against Biden there is almost a certain Trump victory.”